As year ends, the Conservatives are polling better than at any point since the election

Tristin Hopper: But if Carney gets his majority via floor-crossers, it might not matter

By Tristin Hopper
Published Dec 28, 2025
Last updated 1 week ago
3 minute read
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Mark Carney and Pierre Poilievre in two combined images
In the last days of December, several pollsters posted year-end results finding that the Conservatives and Liberals would be neck and neck in a federal election. Photo by The Canadian Press

As Canada closes out 2025, the Conservatives are suddenly polling higher than at any point since the swearing-in of Mark Carney as prime minister.

In the last days of December, several pollsters posted year-end results finding that the Conservatives and Liberals would be neck and neck in a federal election.

A Dec. 19 poll by Innovative Research had the Liberals and Conservatives tied at 39 per cent. A Dec. 22 Liaison Strategies poll had them tied at 38 per cent. And a Dec. 23 Nanos poll had the Tories just trailing the Liberals at 35.6 per cent to 36.3 per cent.